17:30 - 20.06.2025

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June 20, Fineko/abc.az. British edition The Economist, in its latest issue dated June 19, 2025, has published a sharp and sober analysis: Israel will not be able to achieve a decisive victory in the event of a direct war with Iran.

ABC.AZ reports that the publication cites three key reasons why Tel Aviv will be in a vulnerable position.

1. Geography is on Iran's side

Iran is not the Gaza Strip or southern Lebanon. It is a huge country with a powerful strategic depth. Tehran's military infrastructure - be it rocket launchers, air defenses, or command centers - is scattered throughout the country, making it an extremely difficult target for targeted strikes. The Economist emphasizes that destroying such a system in a short time is an impossible task.

2. The problem of distances and logistics

The second problem is geographical remoteness. Israel is thousands of kilometers away from key facilities in Iran.

To conduct a long-term military campaign, Tel Aviv needs transit bases or active U.S. support.

And given the instability of American foreign policy and fluctuations in the White House, such support remains questionable.

3. National consolidation of Iranians at the moment of threat

Despite internal economic and social problems, in the face of external pressure and the threat of invasion, Iranian society is rallying around the government.

National loyalty in times of crisis becomes an important resource, which is often underestimated in Western scenarios.